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Morning Bell 26 March

Sam Kanaan
March 26, 2025

Wall St closed higher overnight for its third straight session on higher hopes of softer US tariffs. The Dow Jones rose slightly by 0.01%, the S&P 500 jumped 0.16% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 0.46%.

Europe followed the US and closed higher with the STOXX600 rising 0.67%, with all major sectors closing in positive territory. Germany’s DAX climbed 1.13%, the French CAC gained 1.08% and over in the UK, the FTSE100 ended Tuesday’s session 0.3% in the green.

Locally yesterday, the market has continued with the same volatility we’ve seen over the past few weeks with the ASX200 rising by 0.07%. Gains were led by the information technology and health sectors which rose by 1.87% and 0.98%. This was slightly offset by the consumer staples sector which fell by 0.86% by market close.

Australia’s Federal budget for 2025-2026 was handed down last night but should pose little impact on the market movements today as much of the government spend updates were pre-announced. However, the one key highlight was that the budget deficit is expected to widen to $42.1bn, or 1.5% of GDP in 2025-2026. The key inclusions were the $150 energy bill relief for all Australians to help with cost of living pressures, an $8.5bn boost to Medicare, $1bn in military spend which has been brought forward with the total defence spend at $10.6bn over the next 4-years, and states and territories will also be offered almost $50m in funding to grow local housing industries amid the housing crisis currently operating in Australia.

What to watch locally today:

  • The Australian share market is set to open higher with the SPI futures set to rise by 0.59% at market open this morning.
  • On the commodities front this morning, oil is trading 0.12% higher at 69 US dollars and 19 cents a barrel, gold is trading 0.28% higher at 3018 US dollars an ounce and iron ore is trading 0.21% higher at 102 US dollars and 21 cents a tonne.

Trading Ideas:

  •  Bell Potter maintains a buy rating on Gold Road Resources (ASX:GOR), with a 12-month price target of $3.20. With a current share price of $2.79, this indicates a share price growth of 14.7% over the next 12-months, hence the buy rating is maintained.
  • And Trading Central has identified a bullish signal on Tabcorp Holdings (ASX:TAH), indicating that the share price may rise form the close of $0.62 to the range $0.73-$0.75, on a pattern formed over 18 days, according to the standard principles of technical analysis.

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