Skip to main content

Morning Bell 20 January

Grady Wulff
January 20, 2023

US markets fell again on Thursday for a third straight session as investors are increasingly concerned that the Fed will continue raising interest rates despite signs the economy is beginning to cool. The increasing concerns follow new jobless claims in the US hitting the lowest level since June last week in a sign the labour market remains resilient despite the slowing economy. The Dow Jones and S&P500 each fell 0.76%, while the Nasdaq closed the day down 0.96%. US investors continue eyeing off corporate earnings results which today will be released by Netflix after the bell with analysts’ expecting EPS of $0.45/share, a decline of 66.3% from the prior corresponding period, and a modest gain of 1.8% in revenue to US$7.85bn. Shares in the streaming giant fell 3.23% on Thursday ahead of the results being released. JPMorgan Strategist Marko Kolanovic said a recession hasn’t been priced into equities just yet, meaning stocks could have further downside from their current positions. He said ‘US industrials and non-tech large caps (Dow Jones) as well as European stocks are basically flat over the past year, and close to previous highs’.

Over in Europe, markets closed lower on Thursday as investor fears of a global recession continue to weigh on sentiment, especially on the outlook front which is an item high up on the agenda at this week’s World Economic Forum in Davos.

The STOXX600 closed down 1.6%, Germany’s DAX fell 1.72%, the French CAC lost 1.86% and in the UK, the FTSE100 closed the day down 1.07%.

What to watch today:

  • Ahead of the local trading session here in Australia, the SPI futures are anticipating the local market to open 0.01% lower following the turbulent session on Wall St overnight.
  • On the commodities front, oil is trading 1.21% higher at US$80.44/barrel, gold is up 1.60% at US$1934/ounce, and iron ore is trading more than 2% higher at US$123/tonne.
  • In economic data, Japan’s inflation rate data for December will be released at 10:30am AEDT with consensus expecting inflation to rise 0.2% to 4% for the month.
  • The Aussie dollar is buying US$0.69, 88.82 Japanese yen, 55.73 British pence and NZ$1.08.

Trading Ideas:

  • Trading Central has identified a bullish signal on Bubs Australia (ASX:BUB) following the formation of a pattern over a period of 39-days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may rise from the close of $0.34 to the range of $0.38-$0.40 according to standard principles of technical analysis.
  • Trading Central has identified a bullish signal on BCI Minerals (ASX:BCI) following the formation of a pattern over a period of 143 days which is roughly the same amount of time the share price may rise from the close of $0.29 to the range of $0.33-$0.35 according to standard principles of technical analysis.

Bell Global Emerging Companies Fund

Bell Direct
August 23, 2019

June Market Overview

Julia Lee
July 11, 2019

May Market Overview

Julia Lee
May 31, 2019

April Market Overview

Julia Lee
April 29, 2019

Investing in ETFs

Bell Direct
April 17, 2019

March Market Overview

Julia Lee
March 28, 2019

Investing in Alternatives

Julia Lee
March 1, 2019

Margin Lending video

Bell Direct
February 28, 2019

February Market Overview

Julia Lee
February 27, 2019

Market Update

Julia Lee
February 19, 2019

APN Asian REIT Fund

Bell Direct
January 24, 2019