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Morning Bell 23 March

Sophia Mavridis
March 23, 2023

The Federal Reserve has announced a further 25 basis point rate hike, and although this was widely expected, the US stock market declined with all three major benchmarks closing around 1.6% lower. The Fed also acknowledged turmoil in the banking sector could slow the already fragile economy, which share US bank shares slide.

What to watch today:

  • The SPI futures are suggesting that our local market will drop 0.74% at the open this morning, following Wall Street’s lead.
  • In commodities:
    • The oil price continues to regain last week’s losses, after data out from the US Energy Information Administration showed a surprise build in US crude stocks and large draws in other fuels like gasoline. Also, the US oil benchmark is 5% higher this week, as the Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the government would be willing to take further action to protect deposits. Watch ASX energy shares today.
    • The price of gold over 1.5% higher and is heading toward a one-year high, as investors weighed on the Fed’s dovish tone in its policy decision. This may see gold miners rise, such as Regis Resources (ASX:RRL), Newcrest Mining (ASX:NCM), Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST) or Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN).
    • Iron ore has dropped more than 1%, extending the retreat from the nine-month high hit last week, amid increased control of speculatory prices and curbs for major steel producers.
  • Watch the share price movements of Brickworks (ASX:BKW) which is set to release an earnings report today.

Trading Ideas:

  • Bell Potter maintains a Buy rating on EROAD (ASX:ERD) with modest downgrades to their forecasts post the company’s guidance u[date provided late last month and their investor day held this week. Bell Potter have decreased their price target, down 32% to $1.50, after updating each valuation used in the determination of their price target for the forecast changes, as well as market movements and time creep. The $1.50 target is still an over 100% premium to the current share price of $0.64.
  • Trading Central have identified a bullish signal in AGL Energy (ASX:AGL), indicating that the stock price may rise from the close of $7.07 to the range of $7.30 to $7.36 over 22 days, according to the standard principles of technical analysis.

Closing Bell 23 January

Grady Wulff
January 23, 2023

Morning Bell 23 January

Sophia Mavridis
January 23, 2023

Morning Bell 20 January

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Closing Bell 19 January

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Morning Bell 19 January

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Closing Bell 18 January

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Morning Bell 18 January

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Closing Bell 17 January

Sophia Mavridis
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Morning Bell 17 January

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Closing Bell 16 January

Grady Wulff
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Thank you and see you in 2023

Grady Wulff
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Weekly Wrap 16 December

Grady Wulff
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